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Current Events and Senior Government
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Current Events and Senior Government
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McCain’s New Lead (tie?) in the Polls Posted on 23:40, September 10th, 2008 by mrosmanJohn McCain’s Surge in the Polls! It appear that John McCain is pulling ahead of Barack Obama in the national polls. We’ve seen an increasing trend in the past week puching McCain ahead. Some believe it is simply a post convention ‘bump’ in the polls, but many other believe that it is John McCain’s excellent pick of Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska as his running mate. In the begining of the summer, McCain was behind Obama by 15-20 percentage points. For him to be tied, and even leading in some polls, is quite amazing. While the national polls have significant value, we have to remember that the Electoral College actually elects the President. The national trends may lead (or be pushed) by trends leaning McCain in key states. However, we haven’t seen the data yet from those key states quite yet. You Obama folks will really need to worry if polls in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and New Hampshire really start swinging McCain’s way. In addition, you McCain kids should really worry if those same few states swing the other way. Let’s see if this trend lasts more than a week, or it’s something that will really stick for McCain. There is an excellent site out there, www.electoral-vote.com, that posts the most recent polls as they are published. Remember though: not all polls are equal! Some are MUCH more reliable than others! There are several inheirent flaws to most polls today, including the increased use of cell phones and caller-ID.
You can play it all out at www.270towin.com and predict what YOU think will happen on November 4th. Will Texas go Obama? California for McCain? What about something in between that’s a little more likely? A bonus question for you! Bonus to the person who finds the ‘reddest’ state out there right now, and the ‘bluest’ state also! But here’s something, after you’ve read some articles and crunched some numbers, that you can really discuss: Will John McCain:
Total Voters: 27  Loading ...
 Tags: 270 to win, Alaska, Barak Obama, California, caller-ID, cell phones, Colorado, convention, convention bounce, Electoral College, Florida, John McCain, national polls, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Ohio, polling errors, Polls, running mate, Sarah Palin, state polls, Texas, trends, Virginia, www.electoral-vote.com
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The map above is pretty good – there are a few minor changes I’d make to it, but I’m not the expert (yet)!
I think there is a very good chance that McCain will be tied with Obama just because it’s probably gonna be a hard choice of election and voting this year. I’m not sure who I want to vote for yet and I’ve been of age for a little while now….who should I vote for and why? Both Obama and McCain sound like good men, but I think I’d rather vote for McCain because of his political views.
Based on growing up around the politics in Nevada that will most likely go Republican this 1 last election. But in 2012 the Democrats will be rising up there, because they are having more kids than Republicans. In the 2004 election it swayed a bit during polls and was almost going Democratic, but there was still a big lead of Republican population in the 2004 election. That won’t change to Blue till 2012 from my own personal experience growing up there, and having debates and discussions with everyone of all ages… Most kids are going Democratic. So the future of Nevada is going to switch over in the polls in future elections.
I think Sarah Palin was a good addition to the republican ticket. However, with a state of the US economy and the uncertainty of world issues.. i think it’s going to end up being a very close race between McCain and Obama. My prediction…McCain wins!
I think that it is going to be a very close race between McCain and Obama.I think the polls are going to continue to go back and forth.
I think Obama is going to take the lead because McCain is basically doing the exact thing as Bush and everyone hated him When his time was up, so im going for Obama